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An article I wrote
about a decade and a half ago: US GAS WATCH, addressed the
concerns of rising gas prices then in the US. The summation of
this was that in the mid-1990s it actually was never cheaper in
America’s history to drive a car than at that time — ever. The
recession, then coupled with the Gulf War, and the outrageous
gas prices of $1.20(!) had raised fears of the repeat gas lines
of the late 1970s.
HISTORY
The stock market crash of 1987 was
unprecedented (25%). The resulting recession caused the $120
billion drop of long term savings in America, yet this would
come back up to pre-crash levels by 1995. The Gulf war in 1991
caused the international embargo of Iraqi oil. This sent gas
prices soaring, but they returned to previous levels when the
then remaining twelve OPEC countries increased their output.
(1) Randall Chambers, CSUF Thesis, May 2008
My article has been quoted over the years
in journals, reports, and other news pieces and shows that the
relative cost of gas in 1920 for a Ford Model T was 15¢ a mile —
when adjusted to 1994 dollars. Yet in the mid-1990s, operating a
car cost just a third of that. The Model T had been the 20th
design effort by Henry Ford to build an affordable automobile,
and T was the 20th letter of the alphabet, yet it got poor gas
milage.
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Overall, the article reported that the
increase of gas prices at the pump then (1994) were the new and
different taxes on gasoline not the cost of oil, or processing,
or markup. In fact at the end of 1979 the total tax on a gallon
of gas was just 13¢, but by 1994, taxes on a gallon ranged from
21.98¢ in Georgia, to a whopping 52.91¢ in Illinois. Yet the
cost of driving at the time was still just a nickel a mile.
(2) Douglas Westfall, Trailer Life, Apr 1994
TODAY
Sadly this is not the case today. At $4.50
a gallon — even with today’s fuel efficient cars and adjusting
for inflation — driving a car is twice as costly as that of just
fifteen years ago, and relative gas prices are up 250%. True,
the political instability of OPEC nations is one of the two
major causes, but the other is the massive increase in oil
demand world wide — something we can do little about, other than
here at home in America.
In 1993 sweet crude was going for under $20
a barrel. With 42 gallons in the barrel, that’s a little over
45¢ a gallon. Today, oil is $140 a barrel and at the current
inflation rate, more than double that of 15 years ago. The
answer is simple: demand. US manufacturing going off shore at an
increasing rate and the industrialization of even more
countries, contribute significantly to that oil demand. Note
that the overseas manufacturers of our products are using oil at
an alarming quantity. |